Mudcat Café message #3986436 The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #165570   Message #3986436
Posted By: DMcG
08-Apr-19 - 04:58 AM
Thread Name: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
Subject: RE: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
I have just watched a Royal Institution programme on mathematical errors (I know, I know) and, for a couple of examples (one on lei lines and one on people being photographed as a child with a future spouse in the background) it talked about something closely linked to confirmation bias. Anyway, the salient point applies to Brexit, even though it was not mentioned in the lecture:

You cannot demonstrate a no-deal is working by pointing to examples where is has worked (or, for example, how well prepared the civil service is). What you have to show is the paucity of examples where it has not worked (eg how few people who are not civil servants are unprepared.)

I thought it worth making that clarification at the start of this week where something or nothing might finally happen.